
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{\label{tab:mid_first_max} Fatal MID Initiation: Earliest \& Maximalist Ethnic Maps}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lcccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
      Dependent Variable: & \multicolumn{4}{c}{I(100*mid\_onset\_initiator\_dyad\_fatal)}\\
      Model:                                        & (1)          & (2)          & (3)           & (4)\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Variables}\\
      lost\_capital                                 & 0.1560$^{*}$ & 0.1420$^{*}$ & 0.1700$^{**}$ & 0.1730$^{**}$\\   
                                                    & (0.0669)     & (0.0554)     & (0.0579)      & (0.0565)\\   
      lost\_unity\_only\_any                        & 0.0705       & 0.0490       & 0.0517        & 0.0227\\   
                                                    & (0.0469)     & (0.0443)     & (0.0340)      & (0.0339)\\   
      \midrule
      \emph{Fixed-effects}\\
      Baseline controls                             & Yes          & Yes          & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Extended controls                             &              & Yes          &               & Yes\\  
      Year                                          & Yes          & Yes          & Yes           & Yes\\  
      time\_since\_mid\_initiator\_dyad\_fatal      & Yes          & Yes          & Yes           & Yes\\  
      id\_cap\_rule\_corr\_a                        &              & Yes          &               & Yes\\  
      id\_cap\_rule\_corr\_b                        &              & Yes          &               & Yes\\  
      time\_in\_current\_border\_a                  &              & Yes          &               & Yes\\  
      time\_in\_current\_border\_b                  &              & Yes          &               & Yes\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Fit statistics}\\
      Observations                                  & 188,210      & 188,210      & 186,752       & 186,752\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{5}{l}{\emph{Clustered (dyad\_id\_cow\_directed \& id\_cap\_rule\_corr\_a \& id\_cap\_rule\_corr\_b) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{5}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}}\\
   \end{tabular}
   
   \par \raggedright 
   \parbox[t]{\width=\textwidth}{\textbf{Notes:} OLS estimates of fatal MID iniation. 
         The unit of analysis is the directed country dyad year. 
          Baseline controls: relative territorial size of state A vs. state B; logged absolute size of country B; 
          indicators for whether governing group in A has governing or powerless kin segment in B;   
          dummies for peace and calendar years.  
          Extended controls: logged aggregate group size of governing segments in A and B;
          ethnic fractionalization of countries A and B;
          Share of aggregate group governing in state A located in state B;
          Share of aggregate group governing in state A located in own country;
          conflict history (number of past years with ongoing MIDs involving A and B);
          time since last border change involving country A or B (FE). 
          Standard errors clustered on dyad, state A, and state B in parentheses.
          Significance codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}
\end{table}


